Data Sources & Methodology
We keep this forge calculator transparent. This page explains how we collect multipliers, traits, and pool tendencies — and why small variance can happen.
1. Multipliers
Patch-verified tests and community sample consolidation. These control the stat ceilings of your weapon/armor.
2. Traits & Thresholds
Repeated forge experiments to confirm activation shares in the current patch.
3. Pool Tendencies
Statistical inference from large recipe samples to estimate each ore's directional weight (weapon vs armor).
4. Validation
Cross-checking predictions against real forge outputs to verify accuracy.
Different forge calculator sites can disagree on the same ore recipe. That usually comes from differences in patch mapping, sampling, and modeling. We publish our sources so you know what this roblox the forge calculator is built on.
Why Variance Happens
- • Limited samples for rare ores
- • Short-term lag after patch changes
- • Discrete weight tiers in the game causing stepwise jumps
Treat this as a decision guide that saves ore, not a 100% guarantee of any single roll.
How We Update
After each patch, we map the new version in /changelog, sync multipliers/traits/tendencies, and publish what changed.
How You Can Help
If your results strongly disagree, submit your ore list, shares, patch version, and outcome. Verified samples are added, and contributors are credited.
FAQ
Is this official data?
No — it's community-driven data verified by repeated testing.
Why do calculators differ?
Different sample methods, patch versions, and modeling approaches.
How reliable is the current patch model?
Reasonably accurate for common recipes; rare ores may have higher variance.
Do thresholds change?
Yes — patches can shift trait activation thresholds.
Is sample size public?
We publish sample counts in changelog when significant.
How do I submit tests?
Include ore list, shares, patch version, and actual outcome.
Submit Your Forge Tests
Help improve this calculator by sharing your test results. Include: ore list, shares, patch version, and actual outcome.
Submit Feedback👉 Want to verify a claim? Re-run your recipe in /calculator.
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